LFE Redraft

Seventy-five was enough

Vincent beats Patrick by 1.22. Bobby and Felix reach 7–2, while six teams crowd together at 4–5.

Let Em Cook III beats Gallbladder Gladiators by 1.22 points

LET EM COOK III 75.50 · GALLBLADDER GLADIATORS 74.28

One win, no style points

Vincent scored 75.50 and won. Glenn scored 132.54 and lost. Patrick supplied the first result by finishing 1.22 behind Vincent; Jason supplied the second with 145.08. James Cook’s 16.7 and the Jaguars defense’s 12 carried Vincent through a five-point afternoon from Jared Goff. Patrick left George Pickens’ zero in the lineup, and Christian McCaffrey’s 21.7 could not make up the difference.

Bobby replaced the injured Lamar Jackson with C.J. Stroud and got the week’s highest starting-quarterback score: 35.36. Bower Hour led the league with 148.36 and joined Felix at 7–2. Felix beat Louis despite Kenneth Walker’s 34.3; Louis got only 0.5 from Josh Jacobs, whose finger injury now joins a crowded availability list. Jason’s 28 from Puka Nacua helped beat Glenn, but Nacua is listed doubtful with a knee issue in Monday’s update. A winning score can leave a very different lineup for the following week.

Daniel beat Anthony and leads the current-strength model at 3–6. That ranking includes a replacement estimate for an empty receiver slot, not an extra player on his roster. Vincent gets him next. Six teams are 4–5, including Patrick and Glenn, while Hao’s win over Eugene keeps him in that group. The season pages below separate the standings, schedule replays and exploratory playoff estimates from the power rankings.

Revisit the saved Week 8 waiver receipts

Week 9 scoreboard

Let Em Cook III defeats Gallbladder Gladiators, Week 9
Let Em Cook IIIVincent Lam
75.50
Gallbladder GladiatorsPatrick Muggill
74.28
Bower Hour defeats OVER BURDENED, Week 9
Bower HourBobby Chan
148.36
OVER BURDENEDSeth Miller
79.16
Substaion Central defeats JamAR YOU READY KIDS?!, Week 9
Substaion CentralJason Huang
145.08
JamAR YOU READY KIDS?!Glenn Getty
132.54
The King is back defeats McLovin, Week 9
The King is backDaniel Moon
116.36
McLovinAnthony Sanworanart
75.20
A Touch of Downs defeats Nix in 5, Week 9
A Touch of DownsFelix Cao
114.00
Nix in 5Louis Hwang
91.06
SaLadd Toss'r (aka I am ass) defeats baby in LaPorta-potty, Week 9
SaLadd Toss'r (aka I am ass)Hao Qiu
107.58
baby in LaPorta-pottyEugene Cai
89.66

Team of the Week

WEEK 9League starters

★ Game Ball× Season selections

LT
LG
C
RG
RT
WR2×
CeeDee Lamb
CeeDee LambDaniel Moon
28.50PTS
TE2×
Brock Bowers
Brock BowersBobby Chan
18.80PTS
WR2×
Puka Nacua
Puka NacuaJason Huang
28.00PTS
HB5×
Kenneth Walker III
Kenneth Walker IIILouis Hwang
34.30PTS
QB1×
C.J. Stroud
★
C.J. StroudBobby Chan
35.36PTS
HB2×
Bucky Irving
Bucky IrvingJason Huang
26.50PTS

The power rankings

The power rankings
1The King is backDaniel Moon3–6116.4113.893.8↑ 9
2Nix in 5 ↻Louis Hwang2–791.1105.789.4—
3JamAR YOU READY KIDS?! ↻Glenn Getty4–5132.5106.987.9—
4Bower HourBobby Chan7–2148.4108.287.8↑ 4
5A Touch of Downs ↻Felix Cao7–2114.0113.984.4↓ 1
6Substaion CentralJason Huang6–3145.1102.783.9↓ 5
7McLovinAnthony Sanworanart4–575.2111.076.1↓ 2
8Gallbladder GladiatorsPatrick Muggill4–574.3109.875.8↑ 3
9Let Em Cook IIIVincent Lam4–575.5106.275.5↓ 3
10baby in LaPorta-pottyEugene Cai4–589.7106.075.3↓ 3
11OVER BURDENEDSeth Miller5–479.296.366.9↓ 2
12SaLadd Toss'r (aka I am ass) ↻Hao Qiu4–5107.689.563.3—

The score compares roster strength; it is not a probability of winning.

↻ Week 10 championship rematches: Louis vs. Glenn (2022); Felix vs. Hao (2018)

Change vs. Week 8; — means unchanged.

Portraits of CeeDee Lamb and Derrick Henry

Power rank #1 · 3–6

The King is back

Daniel Moon

Lamb gives Daniel a way back

CeeDee Lamb turned 16 targets into 28.5 points, and Daniel beat Anthony by 41.16. Maye added 18.26, Kelce 15.3 and Stevenson 13.3, enough to move the renamed King is back to 3–6.

Daniel leads the current-strength rankings, though the Week 10 lineup still needs a receiver. Stevenson’s knee issue and Brown’s current Out flag limit the options. Vincent just won with 75.50; Daniel’s remaining margin for another loss is thinner than the ranking suggests.

Lineup & numbers

The index compares current roster strength; it is not playoff odds.

Power index
93.8 / 100
Week 10 projection
113.8 pts
Week 10 modeled ceiling
141.4 pts
QBDrake Maye21.934.1#2
RBDerrick Henry / Woody Marks / Quinshon Judkins41.557.3#4
WRCeeDee Lamb / Replacement WR (estimate)25.039.8#9
TETravis Kelce9.517.1#4
KMatt Gay8.613.4#9
DSTTexans D/ST7.315.6#3

Modeled replacements: WR 8.0 pts. Rostered bench cover is used first; these estimates do not add players to the roster.

Portraits of Amon-Ra St. Brown and Kenneth Walker III

Power rank #2 · 2–7

Nix in 5

Louis Hwang

Walker could not do it alone

Kenneth Walker scored 34.3, more than a third of Louis’s 91.06. Jacobs and Dobbins combined for 3.2, and Felix won by 22.94. The record is now 2–7.

Walker’s 18 carries and four targets support a useful role, but this lineup has several gaps around him. The model supplies reserve estimates at running back, receiver and kicker for Week 10. Glenn brings Burrow and Chase next; Louis needs more than another great Walker game.

Lineup & numbers

The index compares current roster strength; it is not playoff odds.

Power index
89.4 / 100
Week 10 projection
105.7 pts
Week 10 modeled ceiling
133.2 pts
QBJayden Daniels18.629.7#6
RBKenneth Walker III / Replacement RB (estimate)31.846.7#6
WRAmon-Ra St. Brown / Stefon Diggs / Replacement WR (estimate)33.047.8#5
TEKyle Pitts Sr.7.315.0#10
KReplacement K (estimate)10.517.2#2
DST49ers D/ST4.512.4#10

Modeled replacements: K 10.5 pts · WR 8.0 pts · RB 7.5 pts. Rostered bench cover is used first; these estimates do not add players to the roster.

Portraits of Ja'Marr Chase and Nico Collins

Power rank #3 · 4–5

JamAR YOU READY KIDS?!

Glenn Getty

A good score met a better one

Burrow, Christian Watson and Chase combined for 82.64. Glenn still lost to Jason, 145.08–132.54. A minus-five Patriots defense score made the chase harder, but Jason’s 28 from Nacua and 26.5 from Irving supplied the bigger problem.

Watson drew eight targets on 28 routes, while Chase drew 12 on 31. Those two roles give Glenn a credible way to rebound against Louis. At 4–5, he is tied on record with five other teams; this loss did not make his passing-game strength disappear.

Lineup & numbers

The index compares current roster strength; it is not playoff odds.

Power index
87.9 / 100
Week 10 projection
106.9 pts
Week 10 modeled ceiling
136.5 pts
QBJoe Burrow19.028.0#5
RBKyren Williams / Tyler Allgeier24.638.7#9
WRJa'Marr Chase / Christian Watson / Nico Collins42.062.2#1
TEHarold Fannin Jr.8.016.0#8
KCam Little9.815.7#5
DSTPatriots D/ST3.510.8#12
Portraits of Bijan Robinson and Brock Bowers

Power rank #4 · 7–2

Bower Hour

Bobby Chan

Stroud answers the quarterback problem

Lamar Jackson went on injured reserve, and Bobby’s replacement scored 35.36. Stroud led a 148.36-point win over Seth, with Bijan adding 23.7 and Bowers 18.8. Bobby is 7–2.

Bijan handled 19 carries and seven targets, giving Bobby more than one route to points if Stroud comes back toward his projection. Eugene is next at 4–5. Jackson’s return date remains unknown; the roster has already shown it can win with Stroud starting.

Lineup & numbers

The index compares current roster strength; it is not playoff odds.

Power index
87.8 / 100
Week 10 projection
108.2 pts
Week 10 modeled ceiling
137.5 pts
QBC.J. Stroud18.226.5#7
RBBijan Robinson / Jordan Mason23.436.4#10
WRMalik Nabers / Tee Higgins26.441.8#7
TEBrock Bowers / Isaiah Likely23.539.3#1
KTyler Bass11.118.1#1
DSTSteelers D/ST5.612.5#8
Portraits of Jahmyr Gibbs and Chris Olave

Power rank #5 · 7–2

A Touch of Downs

Felix Cao

Seven wins without the drama

Felix beat Louis 114.00–91.06 behind Javonte Williams’ 20.4 and Tyler Shough’s 19.7. After last week’s 0.38 escape, a 22.94-point margin counts as breathing room.

Williams had 20 carries and five targets; Shough ran 10 times. That work helped cover quieter scores elsewhere. Hao arrives at 4–5 after winning with Matthew Golden’s 27.4. Felix has the better record, but he still needs production from more than Gibbs.

Lineup & numbers

The index compares current roster strength; it is not playoff odds.

Power index
84.4 / 100
Week 10 projection
113.9 pts
Week 10 modeled ceiling
141.0 pts
QBTyler Shough17.226.9#10
RBJahmyr Gibbs / Javonte Williams / Jadarian Price46.063.0#1
WRChris Olave / DJ Moore25.037.6#8
TEDalton Kincaid8.016.1#7
KKa'imi Fairbairn10.016.3#4
DSTRavens D/ST7.614.5#2
Portraits of Puka Nacua and Trey McBride

Power rank #6 · 6–3

Substaion Central

Jason Huang

The points finally bought a win

Jason followed the 0.38 loss with 145.08 and beat Glenn by 12.54. Nacua, Irving and Purdy combined for 79.78, enough to survive Burrow, Chase and Watson on the other side.

Nacua’s Monday knee designation changes the Week 10 outlook. McMillan had six targets on 36 routes, and Omar Cooper drew 11 on 34; both have work to carry into the lineup if Jason needs receiver cover. Patrick arrives after scoring 74.28.

Lineup & numbers

The index compares current roster strength; it is not playoff odds.

Power index
83.9 / 100
Week 10 projection
102.7 pts
Week 10 modeled ceiling
129.2 pts
QBBrock Purdy20.728.9#4
RBChuba Hubbard / Breece Hall29.742.5#8
WRTetairoa McMillan / Omar Cooper Jr. / Tre Tucker29.346.6#6
TETrey McBride10.418.2#3
KCameron Dicker8.314.6#10
DSTBrowns D/ST4.28.5#11
Portraits of Jonathan Taylor and Drake London

Power rank #7 · 4–5

McLovin

Anthony Sanworanart

Seven targets, little return

Taylor scored 6.9 and Kittle 7.8 in Anthony’s 75.20-point loss to Daniel. Kittle still drew seven targets on 25 routes, while Taylor had 13 carries and five targets. The opportunity was more useful than the score.

Charbonnet and Pollard give the projected Week 10 backfield alternatives, but Anthony needs those options to become points against Seth. Both teams scored below 80 this week. At 4–5, another quiet result would send Anthony below the large middle group.

Lineup & numbers

The index compares current roster strength; it is not playoff odds.

Power index
76.1 / 100
Week 10 projection
111.0 pts
Week 10 modeled ceiling
136.5 pts
QBDak Prescott16.623.5#12
RBJonathan Taylor / Zach Charbonnet / Tony Pollard42.359.5#3
WRDrake London / Denzel Boston22.834.4#10
TEGeorge Kittle13.223.0#2
KChad Ryland7.812.9#11
DSTRams D/ST8.415.7#1
Portraits of Christian McCaffrey and George Pickens

Power rank #8 · 4–5

Gallbladder Gladiators

Patrick Muggill

One zero cost more than enough

Patrick lost 75.50–74.28 with George Pickens’ zero in the starting lineup. McCaffrey scored 21.7, but Flowers and Kraft combined for only 5.2. A 1.22-point loss leaves plenty of room for the bench-regret page to make its case.

Pickens has a reported chance to return against San Francisco, without clearance yet. DK Metcalf returns to the projected lineup after Pittsburgh’s bye. Jason just scored 145.08; Patrick needs useful receiver points before worrying about another narrow finish.

Lineup & numbers

The index compares current roster strength; it is not playoff odds.

Power index
75.8 / 100
Week 10 projection
109.8 pts
Week 10 modeled ceiling
134.6 pts
QBTrevor Lawrence21.430.1#3
RBChristian McCaffrey / Bhayshul Tuten / Rachaad White45.260.3#2
WRZay Flowers / DK Metcalf21.334.2#11
TETucker Kraft7.113.2#12
KWill Reichard9.617.3#6
DSTLions D/ST5.210.0#9
Portraits of James Cook III and Justin Jefferson

Power rank #9 · 4–5

Let Em Cook III

Vincent Lam

Vincent will take the standings credit

James Cook scored 16.7 and the Jaguars defense added 12. Vincent needed nearly all of it to beat Patrick by 1.22 while Goff scored 5.3 and Jefferson 7.3. The win brings him into the six-team 4–5 group.

Cook had 31 carries, and Jefferson still drew 11 targets on 35 routes. Those workloads offer more reason for optimism than the 75.50 total. Daniel is next, fresh off 116.36 and first in current strength; another escape will need more scoring.

Lineup & numbers

The index compares current roster strength; it is not playoff odds.

Power index
75.5 / 100
Week 10 projection
106.2 pts
Week 10 modeled ceiling
131.1 pts
QBJared Goff17.326.8#9
RBJames Cook III / Blake Corum31.443.4#7
WRJustin Jefferson / Rashee Rice / DeMario Douglas33.448.6#4
TETyler Warren8.515.7#6
KHarrison Butker9.314.7#8
DSTJaguars D/ST6.315.0#4
Portraits of Omarion Hampton and Josh Allen

Power rank #10 · 4–5

baby in LaPorta-potty

Eugene Cai

Coleman needed more help

Jonah Coleman supplied 16.8, but Allen, Jameson Williams and LaPorta combined for 22.56. Eugene lost to Hao by 17.92 and fell to 4–5. Fifteen kicker points and 13 from the Bears defense could not cover the offensive shortage.

Jaylen Warren returns from Pittsburgh’s bye and leads the X-factor discussion against Cincinnati. The Week 10 projection still needs receiver and defense reserve estimates. Bobby arrives at 7–2 after a 148.36-point week; Eugene needs his offensive starters to do the heavier lifting.

Lineup & numbers

The index compares current roster strength; it is not playoff odds.

Power index
75.3 / 100
Week 10 projection
106.0 pts
Week 10 modeled ceiling
131.0 pts
QBJosh Allen25.737.2#1
RBOllie Gordon II / Jaylen Warren / Alvin Kamara38.053.2#5
WRJameson Williams / Replacement WR (estimate)18.128.5#12
TESam LaPorta9.217.0#5
KJake Bates9.315.3#7
DSTReplacement DST (estimate)5.811.7#6

Modeled replacements: WR 8.0 pts · DST 5.8 pts. Rostered bench cover is used first; these estimates do not add players to the roster.

Portraits of Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Ashton Jeanty

Power rank #11 · 5–4

OVER BURDENED

Seth Miller

The Chicago points get a week off

Burden led Seth with 17.2 in a 79.16-point loss to Bobby. Williams and Loveland added 20.16 together, but none of that could match Stroud’s 35.36 plus Bobby’s supporting scores.

Chicago’s bye removes those three from Week 10 consideration. Stafford becomes the projected quarterback, and the model uses a reserve tight-end estimate. Burden also has a concussion. Anthony is coming off 75.20, so this matchup turns on whose replacements can supply ordinary points.

Lineup & numbers

The index compares current roster strength; it is not playoff odds.

Power index
66.9 / 100
Week 10 projection
96.3 pts
Week 10 modeled ceiling
119.9 pts
QBMatthew Stafford16.926.0#11
RBAshton Jeanty / Rico Dowdle20.931.5#11
WRJaxon Smith-Njigba / Caleb Douglas / Keenan Allen34.550.1#3
TEReplacement TE (estimate)7.513.7#9
KBrandon Aubrey10.517.2#3
DSTSeahawks D/ST6.111.8#5

Modeled replacements: TE 7.5 pts. Rostered bench cover is used first; these estimates do not add players to the roster.

Portraits of Chase Brown and Saquon Barkley

Power rank #12 · 4–5

SaLadd Toss'r (aka I am ass)

Hao Qiu

Golden keeps Hao in the crowd

Matthew Golden’s 27.4 powered a 107.58–89.66 win over Eugene. Parker Washington added 13.1, and Hao joined the 4–5 pack despite Barkley, Brown and Swift combining for 20.3.

Golden earned 10 targets on 32 routes, a stronger repeatable signal than the touchdown total alone. Chicago and Philadelphia have Week 10 byes, leaving Hao without Swift and Barkley. Felix is 7–2; Golden and Washington may need to carry another substantial share.

Lineup & numbers

The index compares current roster strength; it is not playoff odds.

Power index
63.3 / 100
Week 10 projection
89.5 pts
Week 10 modeled ceiling
111.5 pts
QBPatrick Mahomes17.525.9#8
RBChase Brown / Samaje Perine16.323.4#12
WRMatthew Golden / Parker Washington / Ladd McConkey35.050.6#2
TET.J. Hockenson7.213.7#11
KEvan McPherson7.812.6#12
DSTBills D/ST5.713.1#7

Weekly awards

Replacement of the week

Bobby Chan · Bower Hour

C.J. Stroud scored 35.36 with Lamar Jackson on injured reserve. Bobby led the league at 148.36 and improved to 7–2.

Win by any means

Vincent Lam · Let Em Cook III

75.50 was the third-lowest team score, but it beat Patrick by 1.22. Vincent gets the same standings credit as Bobby.

Wrong opponent, right lineup

Glenn Getty · JamAR YOU READY KIDS?!

132.54 was the third-highest score. Jason’s 145.08 made it a loss anyway.

The workload receipt

Daniel Moon · The King is back

CeeDee Lamb drew 16 targets and supplied 28.5 points in a 41.16-point win. Daniel moves to 3–6.

Golden contribution

Hao Qiu · SaLadd Toss’r

Matthew Golden’s 27.4 made up more than a quarter of Hao’s 107.58. Ten targets on 32 routes give the score some support.

Key Injuries

The King is back

Rhamondre Stevenson #65 / A.J. Brown #20

Stevenson’s knee issue may cost time, per the November 9 report. Brown remains flagged Out, though travel to Munich is possible; neither note confirms Week 10 availability.

Nix in 5

DeVonta Smith #34 / Garrett Wilson #29 / Josh Jacobs #81

Jacobs, Wilson and Smith carry Out flags in the November 9–10 snapshot. Follow the practice reports; those flags alone do not establish a new Week 10 ruling.

JamAR YOU READY KIDS?!

David Montgomery #57 / Alec Pierce #90

Montgomery’s coach hopes for a practice return this week or next. Pierce remains on IR; the November 4 report supplied no timetable.

Bower Hour

Lamar Jackson #43 / Jonathon Brooks #83 / Kyle Monangai #100

Jackson is on IR with thumb surgery reported. Brooks remains on IR and Monangai carries an Out flag; no return date is assumed.

A Touch of Downs

Carnell Tate #61

Tate’s shoulder Out flag comes from November 3. No newer clearance appears in this capture.

Substaion Central

Puka Nacua #4 / Mike Evans #62

Nacua is doubtful with a knee issue in Monday’s update. Evans is unlikely to practice Wednesday with his Achilles issue, per the November 9 report.

ESPN PPR top 100: Sep 8, 2026. Injury update: Nov 10, 2026 · Tuesday morning.

Key Injuries

McLovin

Jeremiyah Love #19

Love was placed on IR November 3 with an ankle injury. The capture supplies no activation date.

Gallbladder Gladiators

George Pickens #27

Pickens has a reported chance to play against San Francisco, but practice work may stay limited. His current Out flag is not a confirmed Week 10 decision.

Let Em Cook III

Cam Skattebo #45 / TreVeyon Henderson #60

Skattebo was limited on Monday’s estimated report despite an Out flag. Henderson’s illness flag remains Out; monitor both before setting the lineup.

baby in LaPorta-potty

Jaylen Waddle #48

Waddle left Sunday’s game with a concussion. The current label is Questionable; the in-game exit is not a Week 10 ruling.

OVER BURDENED

Travis Etienne Jr. #35 / Luther Burden III #59

Burden has a concussion, and Chicago is on bye. Etienne remains on IR; the latest captured practice-window update is from November 4.

SaLadd Toss'r (aka I am ass)

Ladd McConkey #40

McConkey is described as day to day with back spasms in Monday’s report. The snapshot lists him Questionable.

ESPN PPR top 100: Sep 8, 2026. Injury update: Nov 10, 2026 · Tuesday morning.

How rankings work

40% lineup strength · 20% difference-makers · 25% opportunity · 10% recent production · 5% usable depth.

Opportunity splits into 10% volume, 5% routes run and 10% red-zone usage. Week 9 usage describes the projected Week 10 starters; actual fantasy scoring uses the lineup that was started.

Each component is scaled against the league leader, then weighted and added. The power index compares roster strength; it is not a probability of winning. Record and playoff odds do not enter the score.

Routes & red-zone usage

Volume: carries + 2 × targets. Quarterbacks use pass attempts ÷ 3 + carries. Compare each player with the median at his position, then average the offensive starters.

Routes: compare each starting WR and TE’s route count with the median at his position, then average. A route earns credit even when the player is not targeted. RBs and QBs count through volume and red-zone work.

Red zone: apply the volume formula only to plays beginning inside the opponent’s 20, including the 20-yard line. Compare with the mean at each position. A touchdown gets no extra bonus; the opportunity itself gets the credit.

Lineup, stars & depth

Lineup strength: the highest projected Week 10 total from a legal, available lineup. Kicker and defense count. Unavailable players and zero projections are excluded. Questionable players with positive projections stay eligible.

Difference-makers: add the three largest positive projection gaps above the league’s median starter at each position. QB, RB, WR and TE qualify. This gives exceptional starters extra weight.

Use available rostered players first. Fill remaining empty or bye-week slots with the median projection of up to five available players at each position, in this league’s scoring: DST 5.8 · K 10.5 · QB 16.4 · RB 7.5 · TE 7.5 · WR 8.0 points. If no free agent has a positive projection at a position, use the median of the five lowest positive active-player projections as a model-only reserve estimate, not an available pickup. The same rule applies when testing depth. These are estimates, not roster additions; they earn no star-player or usage credit. Actual scores stay unchanged.

Sources & limits

ESPN supplies the saved rosters, fantasy scores and Week 10 projections. SumerSports supplies routes; nflverse supplies red-zone plays. 39 of 39 WR/TE route counts are verified. All eligible route counts are verified.

One game does not establish a trend. Route counts can rise with team passing volume and game script. The weights are editorial choices; this formula has not been backtested. No team receives a special adjustment.

Modeled ceilings describe upside and are shown for context; they do not affect the index. The X factor balances ceiling and volatility, excluding the team’s positional cornerstone. Variance blends available current-season games with assumed positional ranges; those assumptions matter most early in the season.

Six teams, one shared record.

Bobby and Felix are 7–2, Jason is 6–3 and Seth is 5–4. Glenn, Eugene, Anthony, Hao, Patrick and Vincent are all 4–5. Five regular-season games remain; equal records still need total points to sort the standings.

Exploratory estimates from past scores. No injury or bye adjustments. Not ESPN odds.

PlaceOwnerRecordMake playoffsSince W8
1Bobby ChanBower Hour7–2100%+2 pp
2Felix CaoA Touch of Downs7–2100%+1 pp
3Jason HuangSubstaion Central6–3100%+2 pp
4Seth MillerOVER BURDENED5–479%-5 pp
5Glenn GettyJamAR YOU READY KIDS?!4–571%+6 pp
6Eugene Caibaby in LaPorta-potty4–543%-12 pp
7Anthony SanworanartMcLovin4–523%-14 pp
8Hao QiuSaLadd Toss'r (aka I am ass)4–520%+12 pp
9Patrick MuggillGallbladder Gladiators4–519%-15 pp
10Vincent LamLet Em Cook III4–59%+4 pp
11Daniel MoonThe King is back3–636%+20 pp
12Louis HwangNix in 52–71%-2 pp
What these estimates do—and leave out

20,000 score-replay seasons through Week 14, with completed results fixed. Six teams qualify, ordered by wins then total points; an exact final tie is settled randomly. After nine weeks, each simulated score draws from that team’s history with 9/11 probability and the league pool otherwise.

There are no adjustments for future injuries, byes, trades or lineups. This is an unvalidated results-based experiment, separate from the current-strength rankings. Earlier checkpoints use only scores available then. The win/loss groups include the scores that produced those simulated results. Source: ESPN league 1534704, captured November 10.

Write next week’s arguments.

Pick all six winners and see the records change. These choices stay on this page; they are not league votes or saved predictions.

The head-to-head still counts.

Patrick vs. Felix

109.44–105.62 Patrick won Week 6

Patrick still owns their direct result. Felix now owns a three-win advantage at 7–2 after beating Louis, while Patrick fell to 4–5 with a 1.22-point loss to Vincent.

There is no second regular-season meeting on the saved schedule. Patrick gets Jason next; Felix gets Hao. The Week 6 receipt remains valid, but it cannot pay for this week's standings gap.

How much mileage can Patrick get from one head-to-head win while Felix leads by three?

Glenn vs. Bobby

143.86–129.86 Glenn won Week 1

Bobby has won seven straight and is 7–2. Glenn scored 132.54 and still lost to Jason, falling to 4–5. Each has two games before their Week 12 rematch.

Glenn gets Louis next; Bobby gets Eugene. Burrow led Glenn with 29.54, while Stroud supplied 35.36 for Bobby with Jackson on IR. Both rivals have a quarterback result worth arguing about.

Can Glenn narrow the three-win gap before their Week 12 rematch?

Established league rivalries. Direct scores and remaining schedule verified from the November 10 ESPN capture.

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Sources & edition

Week 9, 2026. Snapshot: 2026-11-10 14:04 UTC. NFL results and fantasy scores come from ESPN. Upcoming-week projections and ceilings are estimates. Each team’s positional cornerstone is excluded from X factor selection.

Source 1 · Source 2 · Source 3 · Source 4 · Source 5 · Source 6 · Source 7

Nine-week review: ESPN league 1534704 draft results and completed matchup lineups, Weeks 1–9, captured November 10, 2026. Player scoring uses this league’s settings. Schedule replays and draft returns do not change the power rankings. Draft recap · League scoreboard

X-factor receipts compare the previous edition’s saved projection with actual Week 9 points, whether started or benched. At or above projection is a hit; below is a miss. This does not validate the ceiling estimate.